Why Are Some People Always ‘Lucky,' While Others Are
Always ‘Unlucky'?
It's not about people who can be fortunate or unlucky; single acts can also be lucky or unlucky.
When a soccer ball strikes a post, commentators always suggest the striker was unlucky.
We also debate whether or not an act was fortunate. I'd say your pool shot was fortunate. You could respond, "Not luck; talent."
Is there any sense in any of this?
Is there such a thing as being
born with good fortune?
Is it true that some
people have more of it than others (much like some people are great at pool)?
There is a perfectly fair way to make sense of talk about luck, in my opinion. Luck, on the other hand, does not exist. It isn't a property or an entity like mass. Rather, talking about luck is talking about how things might have easily gone.
This viewpoint implies that no one is fortunate. We can't really call someone fortunate because they are the kind of person who is likely to experience good fortune.
It's been proposed that luck only occurs if a particular understanding of quantum mechanics is correct:
if causality is not
"deterministic." If physical determinism is valid, then any event can
be predicted (in theory) by someone who understands the universe and its laws
well enough.
If indeterministic physics is right, such predictability is impossible: no one, no matter how knowledgeable they are, can predict any event that occurs, except in theory.
I'm not sure which understanding of quantum mechanics is right, but I doubt we'll need to settle the debate to determine if any events are fortunate.
It seems self-evident to me that the person who was struck by lightning (on a clear day, to be precise) was unfortunate, while the person who wins the lottery is fortunate.
Here's how I think of luck.
I believe that something is good (or unlucky) for a person if two things are true: it matters (somehow) to them, and it could have easily happened.
The second circumstance necessitates any clarification.
To state that anything
could easily not have happened means that, considering the circumstances at the
moment, the incident could not have happened.
This could be thought of as a repeat of the incident.
We will figure out if your shot was chance or talent if I set up the pool table again and ask you to retake the shot.
We'll have to repeat the
process a few times: you could get lucky twice, but ten times in a row is
extremely unlikely.
If you make the same shot
(roughly) every time, I'll have to concede: that's talent, not chance. However,
if you are unable to repeat the feat, you were fortunate the first time.
Similarly, somebody was unfortunate to be struck by lightning if it is true that they would not be struck by lightning if they were in similar circumstances again. If, on the other hand, lightning is so common around here that someone who goes outside is struck by lightning, they weren't unlucky.
There can't be lucky or unlucky people if this is right. At the very least, no one can be born with the ability to attract good fortune.
How skilled I am at doing things like that determines whether or not I am fortunate. If I'm really good at it, I'll have a harder time surviving than if I'm really bad at it.
So, in general, the more often this happens to someone, the less chance there is. Of course, lightning will strike twice, so someone can be lucky or unlucky twice. However, a person who is lucky twice or more is not a lucky person because their past luck does not imply that they will be lucky in the future.
There is only one way to determine whether someone is fortunate or unlucky. We might compare a person's circumstances or characteristics to what is statistically common for a population rather than comparing an occurrence to what we might expect to happen under similar circumstances.
We can assume that someone born seriously handicapped is unlucky, and someone born into privilege is fortunate, using this metric.
For this type of
comparison, who is the appropriate group? I don't believe there is a single
correct answer: it will vary depending on the context and our objectives. A
smaller group may be appropriate for certain reasons, whereas a larger group
may be appropriate for others. This means that a person can be both lucky and
unlucky at the same time.
Consider the modern Nigerian who, through no fault of her own, loses her career. When compared to other contemporary Nigerians, we might call her unlucky. But, in the grand scheme of things, she'll be lucky if she can feed and house herself.
The same level of context awareness and relativism can be seen in luck in events. For an individual, the same occurrence may be both fortunate and unlucky.
Consider someone who delays her flight and so takes a different one, which crashes. Given that she could have easily been on the earlier flight, she is unfortunate to be involved in a plane accident. But, considering that everyone else died, she may be fortunate if she were the only survivor.
That's why we would say something like "you're lucky" to someone who has broken three ribs and both legs.
What do you think?
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Dr.Denjis Ekwedike : Luck,lucky, fortunate and unlucky have a lot to do with mindset. We must free ourselves of mindsets that prevent us from performing at our optimal potentials. Yes, life is full of vicissitudes,but positive mindset will put circumstances at perspectives !
ReplyDeleteLuck is simply when preparedness meets opportunity which means that for anyone to have some good luck, he has been incubating it for a long time. And as it is already said, there are no happenstances in life, things have been positioned that we should experience them in this earthly journey - those who understand would surely understand
DeleteI personally don't believe in luck. Luck to me depends on chance whereas the Almighty rules in the affairs of men and for that reason, the decisions I take could influence my outcomes and so to the onlooker, I appear to be lucky. However, certain principles that I have followed have determined those outcomes. For example, in the case of boarding a crashed plane and one appearing unlucky, what if the person did not listen to or is unaware of the inner voice that was speaking to him and warning him against that flight whereas another listened and escaped the crush? One would appear lucky and the other unlucky whereas there were other unseen dynamics that played out. No! I don't believe in luck. When our actions are consistent with divine plans and right principles, we get "lucky". My humble opinion
ReplyDeleteYou have captured it all
DeleteOne gets lucky when one's actions are in sync with the Natural laws of God
that is the way it is